BAN vs PAK, 3rd ODI Match Prediction: Who will win today’s game between Bangladesh and Pakistan?

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After two wildly contrasting games, the series stands on a knife-edge at 1-1. Bangladesh dominated the opener with a clinical 8-wicket win, but Pakistan roared back in the second ODI, securing a massive 128-run victory (DLS). Both teams have now experienced the highs of a blowout win and the lows of a batting collapse. With the trophy on the line on Sunday, expect a high-tension battle at the Shere Bangla National Stadium.

The hosts will be scratching their heads after the second ODI. Their bowlers, particularly Rishad Hossain, who claimed three wickets, and Mehidy Hasan Miraz, did well to spark a Pakistan collapse in the latter half of the first innings, but the batting unit ultimately failed to turn up. Nahid Rana remains the focal point of the attack; after his blistering five-wicket haul in the series opener, he continues to be the primary threat to Pakistan’s top order. However, the major concern for the Tigers lies in their top-order vulnerability. Chasing a revised target in the second game, the top three batters fell for single digits, leaving the middle order exposed. Heading into the decider, they desperately need a steady start from Tanzid Hasan and Litton Das to anchor the innings and provide a platform for a competitive total.

This new-look Pakistan side, missing veterans like Babar Azam, found an unexpected hero in Maaz Sadaqat. The youngster’s sensational all-round performance anchored by 75 runs and capped with three wickets has shifted the momentum firmly back toward Shaheen Afridi’s men. All eyes will once again be on Sadaqat to see if the 20-year-old can replicate those Player of the Match heroics under the pressure of a series finale. Pakistan’s clear strategy will be to attack with raw pace; Shaheen Afridi and Haris Rauf looked lethal in the previous encounter, effectively using the steep Dhaka bounce to dismantle the Tigers’ lineup. If their speedsters hit their marks early, they will be confident in their ability to overpower the hosts once more.

BAN vs PAK, 3rd ODI: Match Details

  • Date and Time: March 15; 01:45 pm IST/ 08:15 am GMT/ 02:15 pm Local
  • Venue: Shere Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka

BAN vs PAK, Head-to-Head Record

Matches played: 41 | Bangladesh won: 6 | Pakistan won: 35 | No results: 0

Shere Bangla National Stadium Pitch Report

Sher-e-Bangla track for this series decider is expected to maintain its traditional slow and low character, though the first two ODIs have shown a surprising amount of carry and bounce for the pacers. Early on, new-ball bowlers will likely find lateral movement and extra lift, making the Powerplay a critical phase for survival.

As the game progresses, the surface will likely dry out, allowing spinners to extract significant grip and turn. Batting will require patience, as the ball may hold in the surface, making timing difficult. Given the humid conditions and the potential for a slightly sluggish second innings, the captain winning the toss might lean toward batting first to avoid the wear and tear of a typical Mirpur afternoon.

Squads

Bangladesh: Mehidy Hasan Miraz (c), Soumya Sarkar, Saif Hassan, Tanzid Hasan, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Tawhid Hridoy, Litton Das, Afif Hossain, Mahidul Islam Bhuiyan, Rishad Hossain, Tanvir Islam, Mustafizur Rahman, Taskin Ahmed, Shoriful Islam, Nahid Rana.

Pakistan: Shaheen Shah Afridi (c), Abdul ​Samad, Abrar Ahmed, Faheem Ashraf, Faisal Akram, Haris Rauf, ⁠Hussain Talat, Maaz Sadaqat, Mohammad ⁠Rizwan (wk), Mohammad Wasim Jnr, Muhammad Ghazi Ghori (wk), Saad Masood, ‌Sahibzada Farhan, Salman Ali Agha, Shamyl Hussain

Also WATCH: Salman Agha loses cool after unusual run out by Mehidy Hasan Miraz in BAN vs PAK 2nd ODI

BAN vs PAK, 3rd ODI: Today’s Match Prediction

Case 1:

  • Pakistan wins the toss and bat first
  • Pakistan powerplay score: 40-50
  • Pakistan total score: 250-260

Case 2:

  • Bangladesh wins the toss and bat first
  • Bangladesh powerplay score: 30-40
  • Bangladesh total score: 245-255

Match result: Team batting first will win the game.

Also READ: Salman Ali Agha and Mehidy Hasan Miraz react to the run-out controversy after Pakistan’s emphatic win over Bangladesh in 2nd ODI

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